South Africa's Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) 2010 Update 2013 says load shedding until 2029

When will Load Shedding end?

See http://www.doe-irp.co.za/content/IRP2010_updatea.pdf

Look at page 107. F.4 & F.5.

"F.4. The results for the Moderate Decline scenario show high annual load factors of the expensive base load stations as well as unserved energy above the Adequacy Metric thresholds in 2023, 2024 and 2028. This indicates that there may be shortage of base load and peaking capacity in these years.

F.5. The results for the Big Gas scenario show high annual load factors of the expensive base load and OCGT stations as well as unserved energy above the Adequacy Metric threshold in 2023, 2024, 2027 and 2028. This indicates that there may be shortage of base load, mid-merit and peaking capacity in these years. "

Also see F.38 on Page 113:

"This indicates that there may be a shortage of mid-merit and peaking capacity from 2022 to 2024 and a shortage of base load from 2023 to 2028. "